The New England Patriots (6-5) host the Buffalo Bills (8-3) in a primetime game on Thursday Night Football. This game is crucial in the divisional race, with each AFC East team separated by just two games. The two clubs played on Thanksgiving, but had different results. Buffalo outscored the Detroit Lions 28-25, while the Patriots lost to the Minnesota Vikings 33-26. Both teams failed to cover the gap.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Buffalo is favored by four points in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Bills vs. Patriots odds, and the over/under is 43.5. Before making any Patriots vs. Bills picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and SportsLine projection model betting tips.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown more than $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-110 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now, the model has set his sights on Bills vs. Patriots and has just locked in his picks and NFL TNF Week 13 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Patriots vs Bills:
- Difference Bills vs. Patriots: Buffalo -4
- Bills vs. Patriots over/under: 43.5 points
- Bills vs. Patriots money line: Buffalo -205, New England +170
- BUF: Bills are 6-2 ATS in last eight games in December
- NE: Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last four against AFC opponents
- Bills vs. Patriots pick: See the picks on SportsLine
Featured Game | New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
Why bills can cover
Receiver Stefon Diggs is one of the best receivers in the NFL. He is extremely sure of himself and regularly performs difficult holds. The two-time Pro Bowl selection shows excellent coordination and focus when tracking the ball downfield. The 28-year-old is second in the league in receptions (84), third in receiving yards (1,110) and third in receiving touchdowns (nine).
Gabe Davis lines up against Diggs and forms an exciting combo. Davis is a winning physical receiver on the court with strong body adjustments and reliable hands. The UCF product has long speed and can break away from defenders in open space. The 23-year-old had 33 receptions for 650 yards and five scores. See which team to choose here.
Why the Patriots can cover
Bill Belichick will have his team ready to roll in this divisional contest. New England has a solid defense that plays extremely fast and physically. This unit is ranked fourth in total defense (307.8) and ninth in pass defense (198.5) and run defense (109.3).
Linebacker Matt Judon is running a monster campaign. Judon has become a constant threat screaming from the edge with exceptional instincts as a passing thrower. The three-time Pro Bowl selection is explosive off the start and solid against the run. The 30-year-old leads the league in sacks (13) with 11 TFLs. Judon continues to dominate for the Patriots and will be hungry in this prime-time affair. See which team to choose here.
How to make choices between Bills and Patriots
SportsLine’s model looks at total points. In fact, he claims 45 points combined. It also indicates that one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only get the model’s TNF picks from SportsLine.
So who wins the Patriots against the Bills on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the gap hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Bills spread, all from the advanced model that costs well over $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.