This is a clash of two teams battling for spots in the NFL playoff picture on Week 16 Thursday Night Football as the New York Jets host the Jacksonville Jaguars at MetLife Stadium. The Jaguars (6-8) upset the Cowboys 40-34 in overtime Sunday for their fourth victory in their last six games. They are one game behind the Titans in the AFC South standings. The Jets (7-7) lost to the Lions 20-17, their fifth loss in the last seven. They are one game behind Miami and the Chargers for the final playoff spot.
Kickoff in East Rutherford, NJ is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the game as a pick’em in the latest Jets vs. Jaguars odds, and the over/under for total runs scored is 38.5. Before you lock in the Jaguars vs Jets selections, you need to check out the Thursday Night Football predictions and SportsLine projection model betting tips.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown more than $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 157-113 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now, the model has broken down Thursday night’s Jaguars vs. Jets game and has just locked in its picks and NFL Week 16 predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for the Jets vs. Jaguars:
- Jets vs. Jaguars Spread: Pick’em
- Jets vs. Jaguars Over/Under: 38.5 points
- Silver line Jets vs. Jaguars: Jacksonville -110, New York -110
- JAX: Jaguars average 27 points in last six games
- NYJ: Jets have allowed more than 20 goals just once in their last six games
- Jets vs. Jaguars picks: See the picks here
Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Why the Jets can cover
New York is 8-6 ATS this season, including 5-1 in games after a loss. The Jets have been struggling at quarterback, and starter Mike White could be sidelined with a rib injury that sidelined him last Sunday. That means Zach Wilson, the No. 2 pick in the 2021 draft, could start. He threw for 317 yards, with two touchdown passes and one interception against the Lions. Rookie running back Zonovan Knight has 253 rushing yards in four games, and Michael Carter has 390 in 13.
The Jets’ strength has been a top-five defense overall and against the pass. The unit allows 305 yards per game, 194 through the air, and has 12 interceptions and 39 sacks. Cornerback Sauce Gardner is the favorite for Defensive Rookie of the Year, and he has two picks and 16 pass breakups. The Jets allow 6.4 yards per pass attempt, third-fewest in the NFL. Quinnen Williams, who missed Sunday’s game but could be ready for TNF, has 11 sacks and Carl Lawson has six. See which team to choose here.
Why the Jaguars can cover
Jacksonville has covered the spread in four of its last six games and is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four conference games. The attack has been on fire and is a balanced unit. The Jets thrived on catching passes, but Jags quarterback Trevor Lawrence made no mistakes. The 2021 No. 1 overall pick threw for 318 yards last Sunday and has nearly 1,700 yards and 14 touchdowns over the past six games. He has the league’s highest passer rating (111.2) over that span and is making 66% of his shots this season.
Wide receiver Zay Jones, tight end Evan Engram and running back Travis Etienne played major roles in the team’s push. Jones has 415 receiving yards in the last five games and Engram has 224 yards in the last two. Etienne has 1,155 total yards, averaging 5.0 yards per carry and catches 27 passes. The Jaguars offense is sixth in total yards (377 per game), ranking in the top 10 for both rushing and passing. The defense has 22 takeaways, tied for fourth in the NFL and has a record 81 pass breakups. See which team to choose here.
How to make choices between Jets and Jaguars
The model broke down Thursday night’s Jaguars vs. Jets game from every angle. The model looks at the total points, suggesting that it will be a duel between the young quarterbacks. The model also indicates that one side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model’s TNF picks from SportsLine.
So who wins the Jaguars against the Jets on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes well more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Jaguars vs. Jets split you should be on all over Thursday, all of the model on a 157-113 roll on his top-rated NFL picks, and find out.