The majority of college basketball action on Tuesday is scheduled for the evening. This does not apply to the game between the St. Thomas Tommies and the North Dakota Fighting Hawks. St. Thomas is looking to end a 12-game losing streak, with the Tommies posting an 8-19 overall record. North Dakota is 6-23 overall and 2-14 in the Summit League this season.
Tipping is at 2 p.m. ET in Grand Forks. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Fighting Hawks as one-point home favorites, while the Over-Under, or the total number of points Vegas thinks it will score, is 149 in the latest St. Thomas vs. North Dakota odds. Before making any choices between St. Thomas and North Dakota, you should check out college basketball predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. best college basketball picks against the spread. Everyone who followed him saw huge returns.
Now the model has set its sights on St. Thomas against North Dakota, and has just locked in its CBB picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Now, here are several college basketball betting lines and trends for St. Thomas vs. North Dakota:
- Difference between St. Thomas and North Dakota: North Dakota -1
- St. Thomas vs. North Dakota over-under: 149 points
- ST: Tommies are 4-11 ATS in conference play
- ND: Fighting Hawks are 8-8 against staggered conference games
Why St. Thomas can cover
St. Thomas has definite strength to take care of the ball on offense. The Tommies commit a turnover on just 12.8% of possessions, a top five brand in the nation, and St. Thomas leads the Summit League in steal rate allowed at 3.9%. St. Thomas is also very good at the free throw line, making 77.9% of attempts in conference play. The Tommies should also benefit from an inferior defense at North Dakota which ranks outside the national top 350 in adjusted defensive efficiency.
North Dakota is the second-worst in the Summit League at creating turnovers on defense, and the Fighting Hawks are outside the nation’s top 350 in allowed shot efficiency, block rate and steal rate. Opponents are shooting 55.6 percent from two points and 37.9 percent from three points against North Dakota this season. St. Thomas should also be able to create havoc on defense, with the Tommies ranking second in the Summit League in turnover creation rate at 16.5% this season.
Why North Dakota Can Cover
North Dakota should be able to score effectively against St. Thomas. The Fighting Hawks lead the Summit League with an offensive rebound rate of 27.5%. North Dakota is also above average in ball safety, returning the ball on 17.8% of possessions, and the Fighting Hawks are above median in free throw creation rate. and accuracy of free throws (73.7%). North Dakota is assisting on 46.3 percent of field goals, No. 2 in the conference, and St. Thomas has struggled on defense this season.
The Tommies are last in the Summit League in adjusted defensive efficiency, and that mark ranks outside the top 350 in the nation. Opponents are shooting 58 percent from two points and 41.6 percent from three points against St. Thomas, the conference’s worst in both categories. St. Thomas is also at the very bottom of the Summit League in defensive rebound rate (71.4%) and block rate (3.1%) in conference games.
How to make choices between St. Thomas and North Dakota
SportsLine’s model looks at total points, with 13 players expected to score at least seven points. The model also indicates that one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the North Dakota vs. St. Thomas model pick on SportsLine.
So who wins St. Thomas vs. North Dakota? And which side of the gap hits in almost 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the St. Thomas vs. North Dakota spread you need to jump to on Tuesday, all from the model who crushed his college basketball picks, and find out.