While both flounder in their respective domestic championships, Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid are vying for a surprising place in the Champions League semi-finals as they clash at Signal Iduna Park in Germany.
Atletico Madrid hold a slim 2-1 aggregate lead after securing victory in the quarter-final first leg at home last week. Diego Simeone’s side were the better side throughout the match, but a late consolation goal from Sebastien Haller gave Dortmund a welcome lifeline on their return home.
Neither club has performed well in their league this season. Atletico Madrid are on the brink of Champions League qualification as they remain fourth in the La Liga table, and Dortmund are in even greater peril as they sit fifth, outside the UCL places on goal differential.
However, the situation is different in European action, where the lights are brightest. Atletico Madrid stunned Italian champions Inter in the last 16 to reach this stage, while Dortmund won a brutally tough group before eliminating PSV in the previous knockout tie.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid predictions, odds
- Skinny moneyline: Borussia Dortmund (+125)
- Score prediction: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Atlético Madrid
The contrast of Atletico Madrid at home and on the road is stark, and while European magician Diego Simeone will have his team well organized to protect that lead, they simply aren’t formulated to defend waves of pressure like the sides of Simeone from the past.
Atletico Madrid have not kept a clean sheet in any competition, at any venue, in just under two months, and they have failed to do so on the road since late January, when Granada failed to score only two of 17 shots in 1. -0 Victory for Atleti. It’s a return written all over it.
PariMGM (UNITED STATES) |
|
Dortmund victory | +125 |
Draw | +260 |
Atlético wins | +195 |
The two teams to mark |
Y: -185 N: -125 |
More less 2.5 goals |
W: -160 U: +115 |
Dortmund To advance |
+188 |
Athlete To advance |
-275 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Atlético Madrid match facts
- Date: Tuesday April 16, 2024
- Kick-off time: 9 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
- Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund, Germany)
- Arbitrator: Slavko Vinčić (SVN), VAR: Nejc Kajtazovic (SVN)
- Last meeting: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Borussia Dortmund (April 10, 2024 | Champions League)
Borussia Dortmund vs Atlético Madrid best bet
- Take: Borussia Dortmund is the first team to score
- Odds: -125 (PariMGM)
- Take: Borussia Dortmund winner of the first half
- Odds: +170 (BetMGM)
Even if Diego Simeone manages to conjure up more European wizardry, Borussia Dortmund will come out strong in this match and have Atletico Madrid on their heels in the first 45 minutes.
Throughout the season, Dortmund were better before the break. The Germans have scored 30 goals in the first half of the Bundesliga and Champions League this year, placing them eighth in the “Big 5” European leagues. Their production over the final 45 minutes actually drops to just 27 goals in the second half, while most traditional distributions typically see an uptick in offensive production after the break.
Betting on Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid
- Take: Borussia Dortmund wins by zero
- Odds: +320 (BetMGM)
What’s great for Atletico Madrid in a home-and-away match is that they are guaranteed a home game where they can put on a show. The downside is that they have to play one on the road, where they have been extremely poor. While Diego Simeone’s side are perfect at the Metropolitano in Europe this season, winning their five home games by an aggregate of 15-4, they have won just one of their four away games, making drawing against Lazio and Celtic while losing at Inter.
Most recently, in a defensively strong Inter, they managed just seven shots worth 0.62 xG, and put none on target, failing to test goalkeeper Yann Sommer once. one time. They managed nine shots against porous Lazio, while conceding twice to European strugglers Celtic.
Dortmund were well beaten by Atletico Madrid in the first leg, but buoyed by the late consolation goal, they will be tough at home where they kept their focus on attack-minded PSV in the last 16, as well as a solid overall defensive performance against Frankfurt. and Stuttgart even conceded.
Last weekend, Dortmund managed to hold on for a 2-1 win after going down a man early in the second half, and their recent clean sheet at Bayern Munich also stands out, only adding to the value of this choice.
Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Live Stream, TV Channel
With the Barcelona vs PSG match selected for television broadcast in the United States, this match between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid will be broadcast exclusively on Paramount+ in English. A Spanish-language broadcast is also available on ViX.
In the UK, this match will be televised on TNT Sports 2, with streaming available on their dedicated Discovery+ streaming platform.
In Canada, all matches of the 2023/24 Champions League tournament, including this one, are streamed on DAZN.