Thursday’s racing advice features selections from Newcastle and Taunton as cold weather calls for a Warwick reunion.
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Newcastle Running Tips
1.17: Ladronne 9/4
There’s a big difference in weight in that 0-120 handicap, with Monbeg Genius taking the higher weight but wasn’t convincing enough on his hunting debut last month.
Bretney is rated 23 pounds lighter than the top pick and is a strong contender as the No. 2 seed, but it’s a pretty open race regardless and the market is reflecting that.
But all of that speaks more for Ladronne, for coach Tjade Collier who has a 100% run-to-form rate.
Won two of his last class 3 company chases and should be able to take this convincingly after winning on course and distance before.
2.22: Nero Rock 9/1
Just a field of four runners and while both market leaders look promising, Nero Rock at 9/1 looks overpriced in a run that can easily go either way.
Didn’t do too well last time at Wetherby but getting back over 2m should suit a dangerous mark.
Was as high as 137 earlier this year and is already down to 128, 4 pounds lighter than when he was third in a Class 2 handicap pursuit at Kelso in October.
Will also face inexperienced chasers who could go either way, again making an interesting punt with novices.
Taunton Racing Tips
1:35 p.m .: Rubaud 8/11
Beat Dancing Harry on the season’s reappearance and clearly came out exceptionally well from his only loss in Year 2 for Paul Nicholls.
The top court is also in great shape and looking to have Rubaud in great shape after that first hurdle win.
He is also in his second run since undergoing wind surgery and could develop even more today under Harry Cobden.
2.08: Huelgoat 3/1
Took a step back while chasing last time out but it could have been due to a four out error which chipped his confidence and lost ground as a result.
Won four out of five now on the fences and 3/1 seems good given his form this season.
Just 2 pounds heavier than in a win over Zyon and it’s the Nicholls and Cobden combination that looks the most dangerous, again.
The top trainer has a 33% win rate in today’s race with 14 wins over just 43 runners over the past two weeks.
All odds correct at time of writing
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