Often, NFL Thanksgiving games aren’t the most exciting of years, but this year’s list features three intriguing matchups. Five of the six competing teams are above .500, with the only outlier in Detroit being on a three-game winning streak. The 2022 NFL Thanksgiving Day schedule begins with Lions vs. Bills at 12:30 p.m. ET, followed by Cowboys vs. Giants at 4:30 p.m. ET and ends with Patriots vs. Vikings at 8:20 p.m. ET. Game 1 will see Josh Allen make his second Thanksgiving appearance in as many years, and his four TD performance in 2021 makes him an intriguing option for NFL Thanksgiving Day props this year.
Allen lit up for the Saints over the holidays a year ago, but he also has just two total touchdowns in his last three games of 2022. Caesars Sportsbook has a player prop rating at +146 if he exceeds 2.5 passing touchdowns against Detroit. Considering the Lions allowed a league-record 17 pass marks this year, is jumping on that more-money prop bet the smart move? Before you make any NFL prop bets for Thanksgiving Day, you need to see the NFL prop predictions for Bills vs. Lions, Giants vs. Cowboys, and Vikings vs. Patriots from the SportsLine projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown more than $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-109 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
It can also be used to crush NFL picks. The model enters Week 12 with a 46-36 record on NFL prop picks this season, fetching well over $500 for $100 players.
As NFL Thanksgiving Day approaches, the model evaluated Caesars’ NFL player props and found five solid bets. You can only see them here.
The best bets on NFL player accessories for Thanksgiving Day
After simulating NFL Thanksgiving Day games 10,000 times and reviewing dozens of Caesars Sportsbook player props, the model indicates that Vikings receiver Justin Jefferson topped 88.5 receiving yards with a payout of – 117. The third-year pro is on the shortlist for the league’s top receiver and is averaging 109.3 yards per game. He’s passed for 84.5 receiving yards in seven of 10 games, including six of his last seven.
The LSU product has taken a liking to playing the AFC East this year, rushing for 107 yards against Miami and then rushing for 193 yards in an epic performance against Buffalo. Now he must face a New England team that has also struggled with other NFC North wides, giving up 116 yards to Allen Lazard of the Packers and 92 yards to Josh Reynolds of the Lions.
The Patriots have faced just one top-10 passing offense all year and that happened in Week 1 when they gave up 94 yards to Miami’s Tyreek Hill. Now the Pats will face another one in Minnesota, and the model sees more success for a true No. 1 spread against them, with Jefferson finishing with 99 receiving yards on average. See more NFL accessories here.
How to place NFL prop bets for Bills-Lions, Cowboys-Giants and Patriots-Vikings
Plus, the model says another star easily exceeds her yardage total and has another plus-money prop payment you’ll want to jump on. You need to see the pattern analysis before targeting any NFL prop bet on Thanksgiving Day for the Lions vs. Bills, Giants vs. Cowboys and Vikings vs. Patriots.
Which Thanksgiving Day NFL prop bets should you target on Thursday? And what other plus-money accessory is a must-have? Visit SportsLine now to see the best NFL prop bets on Thanksgiving Day, all from the model that’s well over $7,000 on the NFL’s top picks.