Steelers vs. Ravens odds, line and spread: 2024 Week 18 NFL picks, Saturday predictions by model on 181-129 run

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The Pittsburgh Steelers will attempt to earn their third playoff appearance in the last four years when they take on the Baltimore Ravens in an NFL Week 18 matchup on Saturday. The Ravens (13-3) have already clinched first place in the AFC and are expected to rest a number of players, including MVP candidate Lamar Jackson. Still, Baltimore would like nothing better than to eliminate Pittsburgh and earn its 14th win of the season to tie the franchise’s winning record. The Steelers (9-7) will need to win and get some help to earn a Wild Card spot in the NFL playoff picture.

Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET. The Steelers are three-point favorites in the latest Steelers vs. Ravens odds via SportsLine consensus, while the overage in total points scored is 34.5. Before making any Ravens vs. Steelers picks or NFL predictions, you should check out the NFL betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, costs well over $7,000 for $100 players among the NFL’s highest-rated picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 streak on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. He’s also on a 35-21 run among highest-rated picks in the NFL since Week 7 of last season.

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed him is at the top.

Now, the model has focused on the Steelers vs. Ravens and has identified its picks and predictions. You can see the model’s choices only on SportsLine. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for the Ravens vs. Steelers:

  • Steelers vs. Ravens spread: Pittsburgh -3
  • Steelers vs. Ravens over-under: 34.5 points
  • Money line Steelers vs. Ravens: Pittsburgh -178, Baltimore +148
  • PIT: Steelers are 5-5 ATS in last 10 games
  • BAL: The Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Steelers vs. Ravens Picks: See the picks at SportsLine
  • Steelers vs Ravens live stream: fubo (try free)

Why the Steelers can cover

Sophomore running back Jaylen Warren hooked up with veteran Najee Harris for a double in Pittsburgh’s rushing attack. Warren carried 13 times for 75 yards and a score in last Sunday’s 30-23 win at Seattle. He rushed for 100 or more yards in two games, including nine carries, 129 yards and a touchdown in a 13-10 loss at Cleveland on November 19. In 16 games, he carried 140 times for 751 yards. (5.4 average) and four touchdowns, including five explosive plays of 20 yards or more.

Wide receiver George Pickens is also having a solid season. In 16 games, he totaled 63 receptions for 1,140 yards (18.1 average) and five touchdowns. He has 22 explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including 86 yards all season. He has 100 or more receiving yards in five games, including four catches, 195 yards and two touchdowns in a 34-11 victory over Cincinnati on December 23. Find out which team to choose here.

Why the Ravens can cover

Despite this, the Steelers are not a lock to cover the Steelers vs. Ravens spread. That’s because Baltimore still has a solid quarterback option, even with Lamar Jackson sitting. In his place will be fourth-year veteran Tyler Huntley, who filled in admirably for Jackson when he couldn’t go. In 19 career games, he completed 206 of 314 passes (65.6%) for 1,811 yards and seven touchdowns.

Veteran running back Melvin Gordon III is expected to see action for the Ravens. He has only played three games this season, but has 19 carries for 63 yards (3.3 average) and a touchdown. The ninth-year veteran from Wisconsin is a former 1,000-yard rusher for the Los Angeles Chargers and scored 10 touchdowns in a season twice. In 111 games played, Gordon carried 1,586 times for 6,525 yards (4.1 average) and 56 touchdowns. Find out which team to choose here.

How to make Steelers vs. Ravens picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning toward the total, projecting 37 combined points. The model also indicates that one side of the spread is cashed in more than 50% of simulations. You can see the model’s NFL picks and analysis only on SportsLine.

So who does the Ravens win against the Steelers on Saturday, and which side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you should jump to, all from the advanced model on a 181-129 toss on NFL picks, and find out.



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