Mike Tomlin leads the Pittsburgh Steelers on the road for a Week 3 game against a division rival. The Steelers will visit the Cleveland Browns for a Thursday Night Football tilt between the teams 1-1. Pittsburgh lost to the New England Patriots by a 17-14 margin last Sunday. Cleveland crumbled under the weight of a 13-point lead in Week 2, ultimately falling to the New York Jets, and the Browns will try to respond after losing both contests to the Steelers in Week 2. 2021 season.
Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Cleveland. Caesars Sportsbook lists Cleveland as a 4.5-point favorite, while the plus/minus, or total number of runs Vegas thinks it will score, is 38 in the latest Steelers vs. Browns odds. Before making any choices between Browns and Steelers, be sure to check out NFL predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown more than $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-102 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now, the model has her sights set on Steelers vs. Browns, and has just locked down her Thursday Night Football picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Browns vs Steelers:
- Gap between Steelers and Browns: Browns -4.5
- Steelers vs. Browns over/under: 38 points
- Steelers vs. Browns money line: Browns -220, Steelers +180
- PIT: Steelers are 9-10-1 ATS in last 20 games
- CLE: Browns are 8-11 ATS in last 19 games
- Steelers pick vs. Browns: See picks on SportsLine
Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Why the Steelers can cover
Pittsburgh has strength, but the Steelers should also benefit from Cleveland’s shortcomings at this point in the season. On offense, Cleveland is below the NFL average in passing yards and yards per attempt, and that plans to continue with Deshaun Watson suspended. On defense, the Browns battled blatantly against the Jets last week, giving up 31 points, and Cleveland is allowing 27.5 points per game. Cleveland is significantly below average in passing yards allowed, passing touchdowns allowed, net yards per pass attempt allowed, and third defense. Pittsburgh is also solid on defense, allowing just 37 points in two games.
The Steelers have a top star in Minkah Fitzpatrick, who already has two steals this season, and Pittsburgh is near the top of the league in steals (five) and turnover creation rate (25%). Opponents are producing just 4.0 yards per rush against the Steelers, and Mike Tomlin has a reputation for having his team ready for tough situations like a short week on the road in the division.
Why the Browns can cover
Cleveland’s offense is off to a strong start, ranking solidly in the NFL’s top 10 in several categories, including points per game, points per drive, yards per rush and yards rushing. On defense, the Browns are also extremely talented, and Cleveland is above average in total yards allowed with just 330.5 per game. Cleveland is in the top 10 in giving up just 35 first downs, and the opponents have just 147 rushing yards against the Browns in two games. That includes 3.8 yards per carry allowed, and Myles Garrett is one of the best defensemen in the NFL.
Garrett, a dynamic defensive end, was selected as an All-Pro for the past two seasons and has four consecutive campaigns with double-digit sacks. Garrett has three sacks in two games this season and leads a Cleveland defense that should thrive against a struggling Pittsburgh offense. The Steelers have just two offensive touchdowns this season, and Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom 10 in total yards, first downs, passing yards, net yards per pass attempt, points per drive and yards per rush. Pittsburgh’s Mitchell Trubisky is averaging just 5.1 yards per attempt this season and has completed less than 35 percent of throws with at least 10 passing yards.
How to make choices between Browns and Steelers
SportsLine’s model leans into the total, projecting a combined 40 points scored. The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s Steelers vs. Browns picks on SportsLine.
So who wins the Steelers against the Browns on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Browns vs. Steelers spread you should jump to, all from the pattern that’s 139-102 on NFL picks, and find out.