Saints vs Panthers NFL Odds, Picks, Prediction | Expert Backs Bryce Young on Monday Night Football – The Action Network

Saints vs Panthers Week 2 Odds

Week 2 of the 2023 NFL season concludes with a Monday Night Football doubleheader – first, we break down the Saints vs. Panthers odds.

bet365 puts New Orleans at -3 on the spread, and that appears to be the consensus line at all sportsbooks as of Monday afternoon. The Saints are -170 on the moneyline, with Carolina at +150, which is the best price on the market for the Panthers.

In Week 1, the Saints trailed the Titans by just one point, while Bryce Young struggled in his NFL debut against the Falcons. Young, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, attempts to right the ship in this prime-time NFC South game that happens to be his home debut at Bank of America Stadium.

There are a few key injuries to watch for this NFC South matchup. For the Saints, running back Kendre Miller is dealing with a hamstring injury. For the Panthers, wide receiver DJ Chark is also dealing with a hamstring injury, but he completed a full practice Saturday — he would make his Carolina debut if active.

It’s time to preview Monday Night Football between New Orleans and Carolina and then make a Saints vs. Panthers betting pick and prediction.

The Panthers finished Week 1 with the fourth-highest success rate on rushing plays. Because the game played out in a way that forced the Panthers into a negative game script, they were forced to pass heavily sooner than head coach Frank Reich would have liked.

Turnovers and short fields gave the Falcons the advantage, but that doesn’t change the fact that the Panthers were able to pass the ball effectively on standard downs in the loss.

Most of the Panthers’ problems came in the passing game, where they finished 24th in success rate — Young was 20 of 38 for 146 yards and two turnovers.

Hayden Hurst was Carolina’s primary receiver, and the other options really struggled to get separation against the Falcons’ defensive backs.

DJ Chark was a limited participant in practices Thursday and Friday and a full participant Saturday, so he tends to play Monday night. Chark’s return would be a boost for the front office.

New Orleans finished Week 1 with the lowest rushing success rate in the NFL, which puts a lot of pressure on Carr to produce.

Nothing about Carr’s debut with the Saints suggests he’s any different than the version we saw last season with Las Vegas. Carr had excellent completion percentage over expectation (CPOE) numbers inside the Dome – which might be harder for him to replicate outside.

Carolina’s pass rush unit was 11th in pass rush win rate in Week 1, and pressure was always Carr’s kryptonite. He played well under pressure in week one, but it tends to be noisy in small samples. His performance in clean pockets was disappointing (6.5 yards per attempt).

Last season, Carr had a tendency to force the ball downfield, even from clean pockets, leading to many turnover-worthy plays and mediocre Pro Football Focus ratings. Carr ranked 30th in dropback success rate last season out of 42 quarterbacks who played at least 150 plays. He finished 34th in the CPOE.

The Saints’ inability to move the ball means they will continue to have major struggles in the red zone. Carr will also miss Alvin Kamara’s versatility in the red zone, which hurts their ability to separate.

The longer the game stays close, the more Carolina’s running game can be a viable route to offense.

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We saw Frank Reich-led teams consistently underperform expectations in Week 1, then rebound in Week 2. Reich is 0-5-1 in Week 1 ATS , but he bounced back with a 4-1 record in a row in Week 2.

Time and time again, the Colts looked unprepared and played poorly under Reich. The market overreacted to this performance and they were a great bet in Week 2. Carolina opened at +3.5 in most books, and the market has now settled at Panthers +3.

New Orleans is the better team overall, but not good enough to score the full away goal.

Such is the nature of the NFL, and the New Orleans offense still has major question marks for me after a week of the Carr era. At +3 or better, I would bet on Carolina at home.

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