How about a little football to go with your Thanksgiving dinner? The NFL has a triple header on deck for Thursday’s holiday and features a number of playoff hopefuls and Super Bowl threats. In fact, the .650 winning percentage between these teams is thesince the league expanded to three games at Thanksgiving. Five of the six teams playing Thanksgiving also have a winning record, which ties a league high.
As we do every week for the entire list, we’ve rounded up all the top Thanksgiving picks and gaming content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine and put them all in one place, so you can get picks against the spread. from our CBS Sports experts as well as additional content for every game, including games from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine projection model, best bets from our staff, survivor picks and more.
All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
What choices can you make with confidence in week 12? And which Super Bowl contender falls hard? Visit SportsLine, as its incredible model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is almost on the rise $7,000 for $100 players on NFL top picks since inception.
Time: Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (CBS), streaming on Paramount+ (click here)
Open: Tickets -10
Running: Invoices -9.5
Featured Game | Detroit Lions vs. Buffalo Bills
“This has the makings of a game with a lot of offense. Both teams can score, but the Bills can really score. They’ll put a big number here as Josh Allen wins a second straight game in Detroit after beating the Browns last week. in the same building. The track is fast and the Bills can fly. The Lions will not follow. —the Bills cover the gap by 9.5 points and this game is well over the 54.5 total.
“The Lions have been rolling for the past few weeks, but I’m just having a hard time betting against Josh Allen with that double-digit line. Yeah, Detroit’s defense has played better in its last three games, but that was against the Packers, Bears and Giants Buffalo’s offense is an entirely different animal Allen has always played well on Thanksgiving as the Bills are 2-0 SU in both games and the QB has a 100+ passer rating in each contest. While I think the Buffalo offense can get into the 30s inside at Ford Field, I don’t see the Lions doing that in that context. Specifically, I have my doubts because of the protection ahead of Jared Goff Detroit ranks 24th in the NFL’s pass blocking team this season, according to Pro Football Focus Meanwhile, Buffalo is the league’s third-best pass rush team under the same system rating.on why he takes the Bills -9.5 as one of his best bets for Week 12.
“Allen has actually only crossed that line once in the last four games, but I think he’s hitting the Over here against poor defense. The star quarterback is averaging a career-high of 293 passing yards per game this season.” —on why he loves Josh Allen for passing his 281.5-yard passing prop at -127.
“On paper it looks like a game the Lions have no chance of winning, but if I’ve learned one thing in my life about picking NFL games, it’s that teams always seem to win. when you think they have no chance of winning. , especially when being coached by a guy whose most famous quote involves biting your kneecaps. I have no idea what Dan Campbell eats at his house on Thanksgiving Day, but there’s a 50% chance it’s kneecaps.
“The big issue in this game for the Lions is that they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL this year and they’ll be playing a Bills offense that has been one of the best. The Lions gave up the most yards per game and the most points per game and that’s definitely not a good combination when the team you’re playing against ranks second in points scored and yards per game.
“If this game had been played four weeks ago, I probably would have picked the Bills by 30, but the Lions are suddenly one of the hottest teams in football. If you combine that with the fact that the Bills have been in a slight offensive rut, that’s the recipe for a game that could go all the way. I told you we’d be talking about recipes. —on why he picks the Bills to narrowly beat the Lions, 30-27.
Time: Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET (Fox), streaming on fuboTV (free trial)
Open: Cowboys -7
Running: Cowboys -9
Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants
“It has the makings of a Cowboys rout, much the same as Dallas’ 40-3 win over Minnesota just days ago. New York showed a few cracks in its foundation in the loss. against Detroit and lost several key contributors, including top cornerback Adoree’ Jackson. That should keep the Cowboys’ offense humming along, but it’s their defense that could really put the game to rest. Giants are allowing the second-highest rushing rate (45%) in the NFL this season, while the Cowboys are putting the most pressure on opposing quarterbacks in the league. In Week 3, Dallas pressured Daniel Jones 27 times in the win, which is the third most in any game this season. With the Giants as battered as they are and Dallas playing at a championship level, they will win by double digits.” —on why he’s taking Dallas to cover against New York as one of his five locks of the week.
The SportsLine projection model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-109 run on the NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season Now, the model is eyeing a six-legged Thanksgiving bet that would pay nearly 50-1. One of those legs is the 45+ point total in the Cowboys-Giants game. For the rest, you will have to go to SportsLine.
“When those two teams met in Week 3, the Cowboys won 23-16 and it was with Cooper Rush. In that game, the Cowboys sacked Daniel Jones five times and knocked him out once and I think we’re going to see more of the same on Thursday. The Cowboys have won 10 of the last 11 games in this series and I don’t see that dominance ending this week.
“This is the first time these two teams have played Thanksgiving since 1992. Thirty years ago, the Cowboys destroyed the Giants 30-3 and then won the Super Bowl two months later. I’m not saying that is going to happen this year, but I’m not saying that.” —why he likes the Cowboys beating the Giants, 31-17.
“The Giants are coming off of a horrible home performance against the Lions, which means they might have anticipated this one. The Cowboys turned things around in their blowout victory over the Vikings. The defense dominated, and she’ll dominate here as well. The Giants are too limited on offense. —says the Cowboys defense will once again lead them to victory.
Broncos at Titans
Time: Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC), airing on fuboTV (free trial)
Featured Game | Minnesota Vikings vs. New England Patriots
The SportsLine projection model has simulated NFL Thanksgiving Day games 10,000 times and reviewed Caesars Sportsbook’s dozens of player props. We can tell you that the model indicates that Vikings WR Jefferson is passing 88.5 receiving yards (-117), with the model projecting that he finishes with 99 on average. However, the model also says another star skims over her yardage total and offers an accessory with an extra payment. To see what it is, check out SportsLine.
“Now is the most intriguing Thanksgiving game for me. The last time the Patriots played Thanksgiving, they beat the New York Jets 49-19 in the ‘Butt Fumble’ game. Speaking of beating the Jets, that’s what the Patriots did last week on an 84-yard punt return touchdown with just five seconds left in the fourth quarter They looked like the better team all afternoon, but it took an incredibly long time for them to prove it. I thought Mac Jones was fine. He completed 23 of 27 passes for 246 yards, which is the highest completion percentage Jones has had this season (85, 2%). the AFC, I actually have the Patriots at No. 2. They could make a second halftime – just like they did last year.
“As for the Vikings, yes, that 40-3 loss to the Cowboys is going to take some time to recover. Still, they can pull a page out of the Cowboys’ book and force everyone to forget it with a dominant victory. Thanksgiving. Even with Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson, I can’t help but be impressed with the New England defense. This unit has allowed just 7.7 points per game in the last three contests, and allows a 19% conversion rate on third downs during that same span.The Patriots have the second-highest rushing rate in the NFL this season, while the Vikings allow the fifth-highest rushing rate. I’ll say that out of the three Thanksgiving contests, I’m the least confident about this one when it comes to picking a side. I’ll take the Patriots to surprise here, and I like the Over. —feels an upheaval in Minnesota as the SU Patriots beat the Vikings in the Thanksgiving Finals while also hitting the Over.
RJ White, a fantasy and games editor for CBS Sports, consistently smashes as SportsLine’s #1 NFL expert. Along with owning a 445-378-24 on his 2017-21 ATS picks, he’s been especially sharp when it comes to the Vikings. On his last 84 picks involving Minnesota, White went 52-28-4 (+$2,053), so you’ll definitely want to know where he’s leaning Thursday night. To see this pick, head over to SportsLine.
“The Vikings were hampered on Sunday at home, getting crushed by the Cowboys. They’ll bounce back and play better here. New England’s offense is struggling, but the defense is playing well. Even so, I think the Vikings will react on offense in this one to win it. The Patriots offense is bad. —why he takes the Vikings to beat New England by 10 in the Thanksgiving Finals.