The 82-game NBA regular season gives us a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines and totals. The Association offers 1,230 regular season games, which can make assessing the odds an overwhelming task.
However, various advanced statistics can help narrow down the choices. numberFire’s NBA power rankings and daily projections, combined with advanced NBA statistics, can help you win big.
While using some of the tools mentioned, which NBA odds from FanDuel Sportsbook seem to be the best bets today?
Please note that lines are subject to change throughout the day following the publication of this article..
Best NBA Bets
Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic
Hawks team total below 120.5 (-120)
This pick surgically attempted to manage a concerning financial distribution when looking to support the terrible defense of the Orlando Magic and the Atlanta Hawks. This seems like a solid compromise.
The Magic’s defense should give Atlanta a hard time despite a force-on-strength matchup. Orlando’s 111.3 defensive rating is fifth-best in the NBA, and they are well-equipped to neutralize Atlanta’s 119.3 offensive rating (sixth-best in the NBA).
Atlanta has exploded in some high-profile games, but they haven’t reached that total in four of their last six games, facing five bottom-10 defensive ratings down the stretch.
So it’s hard to expect them to outperform Orlando, but behind their own defensive rating of 120.6, NumberFire’s model predicts the Magic will win this game 60.0% of the time.
Thanks to conflicting sources, the model also projects just 114.3 points for Atlanta at a median. I think this is the best way to hone in on what we know most about this particular dynamic: The Hawks’ scoring potential is a bit inflated.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks
Karl-Anthony Towns over 35.5 points, rebounds and assists (-102)
Outlier position matchups can be strange to decipher, but this one has continually stuck in print all season, even with Grant Williams, a solid defender – in theory – for the Dallas Mavericks.
Dallas just can’t keep power forwards. They allow the fifth most points, sixth most rebounds and fifth most assists at the position. Any size issues will only be exacerbated tonight by the NBA’s four tallest, Karl-Anthony Towns of the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Towns is averaging 22.3 points, 10.0 rebounds and 3.3 assists per 36 minutes overall, and we can expect a pretty close game with just a three-point spread.
This confrontation should be what pushes him over the edge. Towns made 11 of 26 shots to post 15.5 points, 12.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game against the Mavs this season, a better night from the field closer to his 61.8 TS% should do the trick.
Toronto Raptors vs. Golden State Warriors
Raptors ML (+112)
Towards the second half of the season, I will probably support the Toronto Raptors after their trade with the New York Knicks until the market catches up.
Over their last 10 games, the Raptors have a net rating of +2.5 (12th in the NBA). That’s actually better than the Golden State Warriors (+1.5), who will host them tonight with a projected two-point spread.
Golden State’s revolving door of injuries took another turn this weekend, losing Chris Paul (hand) but gaining Draymond Green (suspension). This has not been an ideal trade this season. The Dubs’ net rating drops 7.5 points with Paul off the floor compared to on, and their net rating is oddly 8.6 points. worse with Green on the floor this season. On the contrary, you must downgrade their current situation anyway.
In this case, it’s not surprising but rather perilous to see 74% of tickets and 76% of money supporting the Warriors on FanDuel Sportsbook. Golden State is 6-12-2 against the spread (ATS) at home this season, and another missed coverage will likely lead to a Toronto win at this location.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Under 232 (-110)
A battle of Los Angeles pits the red-hot Los Angeles Clippers against the icy, rumor-filled Los Angeles Lakers. As I tend to do, we’ll go against the grain during the last drink.
These teams should not have a total in the 230s in their current state. The Lakers – in particular – should struggle to score tonight under the current court conditions.
LA has a terrible 110.8 offensive rating since moving D’Angelo Russell to the bench 10 games ago, and the Clippers aren’t going to make life any easier. The Clips have an excellent defensive rating of 113.1 this season and play at the eighth-slowest pace factor in the league.
Defense is also the Lakers’ strong suit with a 113.3 rating, and these teams certainly seem to be playing against the under at Crypto.com Arena. Inside the building, 24 of the teams’ 36 contests fell short of the expected total.
numberFire expects just 225.9 total points at a median in this matchup. I agree.
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The above author is an employee of FanDuel and is not eligible to participate in public daily fantasy contests or place sports bets on FanDuel. Advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the opinions of FanDuel. Following the author’s advice will not guarantee a positive outcome. You must use your best judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports bets.
