The No.14 Florida Gators host the Texas Southern Tigers on Monday. Florida are 6-1 this season with a perfect 4-0 record in home games. Mike White’s side are off to a good start, even with a road loss to Oklahoma on Wednesday. Texas Southern is 0-7 in 2021-22, although the Tigers are 5-2 ATS.
Tipoff is at 6 p.m. ET in Gainesville. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Gators as a home favorite with 22 points, while the number of points higher or lower, or total number of points Vegas thinks they have scored, is 136.5 in the latest Florida odds against Texas Southern. Before you lock in the Texas Southern vs Florida picks, check out the college basketball predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine projection model.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $ 2,100 for every $ 100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks versus the spread. Anyone who has followed him has seen huge returns.
Now the model has set his sights on Florida against Texas Southern. You can visit SportsLine now to see the choices. Here are the college basketball lines and betting trends for Texas Southern vs. Florida:
- Florida vs. South Texas spread: Florida -22
- Florida vs. Texas Southern Over-under: 136.5 points
- TS: Tigers are 5-2 ATS in 2021-22
- FLA: Gators are 5-2 ATS this season
Why Texas Southern Can Cover
It’s a very difficult matchup for Texas Southern, but the Tigers have a lot to build on. Texas Southern is one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country, getting 36.8% of missed shots, and the Tigers are above par in terms of free throw creation rate. Florida is outside the top 250 for free throw prevention in defense, and Texas Southern is expected to live on the charity strip.
On the other hand, the Tigers are holding their opponents at 29.4% out of a 3-point range, and Texas Southern is posting a 10.5% block rate for the season. Florida are shooting just 32% on 3-point attempts, and the Gators struggle with live-ball turnovers on the offensive end. Opponents have a 10.3% steal rate against Florida, and Texas Southern could be aggressive in trying to create transition opportunities.
Why Florida Can Cover
Florida’s defense is formidable. The Gators allow their opponents to shoot just 46.5% on 2-point attempts and 25.5% on 3-point attempts. Florida is also benefiting from a 73.5% defensive rebound with scores in the top 25 in block rate (15.8%) and steal rate (13.4%). Florida face a team from Texas Southern who are near the bottom of the field nationally in shooting efficiency and ball safety, which makes the game even juicier.
The Gators are also good on offense, with Collin Castleton in the lead. Castleton is one of the best great men in the country, averaging 14.7 points, 10.1 rebounds and 3.0 blocks per game, and Florida have an offensive rebound rate of 34.1% this season. The Gators shoot over 51% on 2-point attempts, and opponents Texas Southern shoot 53.5% from inside the 3-point arc. The Tigers are also outside the top 300 nationally in free throw prevention, and Florida can use that to their advantage to reach the line with consistency.
How to choose between South Texas and Florida
SportsLine’s model looks at the total, projecting 141 combined points. It also indicates that one side of the gap reaches more than 70% of the time. You can only get the choice at SportsLine.
So who wins Florida over Texas Southern? And which side of the gap reaches more than 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has grossed nearly $ 2,100 on its varsity basketball picks over the past five plus years, and find out.
