Field of Dreams game likely to be high score affair again, plus other best bets for Thursday

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Tom Brady left the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Do not worry; he will be back. Think of it as another temporary retreat if you wish. Tampa announced the 45-year-old QB would be gone until after the team’s second preseason game on Aug. 20. things.”

If I’m a Bucs fan, I’m not too worried. It’s Tom Brady. He probably won’t learn much about football in the next 10 days of training camp, and it won’t hurt to allow Tampa’s backups to get more reps in practice if they do. are required to fill during the regular season. In fact, I recommend that we take all of the next 10 days off. It’s cool. I spoke to your boss, and they agreed. They would also like to have free time.

Let’s head to a cornfield and place some bets.

All Eastern times and odds via Caesars Sportsbook


🔥 The hot ticket

Cubs at Reds, 7:15 p.m. | Television: Fox

Latest odds:

More than 9

  • Key trend: Last year’s Field of Dreams game saw 17 runs scored and eight home runs.
  • Choice: Over 9 (-115)

This is the Field of Dreams game, and it will be played in the middle of a cornfield in Dyersville, Iowa. Last year’s game between the Chicago White Sox and the New York Yankees was fantastic. Tim Anderson hit a home run and the atmosphere was incredible all night. Both teams qualified for the playoffs. This will not be the case this year.

The Cubs and Reds stink, but it’s still baseball played in a cool environment, and there’s not much else tonight, so I’ll watch. As for my pick, this one is much more vibration-based than a typical game in this newsletter. Considering I went 1-5 in my MLB picks this week using math, maybe the vibes will provide better results.

Although we only saw one game played at this park, it’s hard to ignore what happened last year. The White Sox and Yankees scored 17 runs and hit eight dingers. The ball seemed to jump all night, and we got to see more tonight. Cubs starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a below-average strikeout rate (18.5%) and allows a lot of flyballs. He’s also allowed a lot of dingers this season. Cincinnati’s Nick Lodolo has an exceptional strikeout rate (29%) but a terrible walk rate (10%) and also allows a lot of dingers.

Put them together in the middle of a cornfield, and we’ll probably lose a lot of baseballs next harvest.

Here’s what SportsLine has to say about the game: My pick for this game is strong on vibration, so we could use a cooler math analysis. Luckily, SportsLine’s projection model is here for us.


💰 Choices

USATSI

⚾MLB

Orioles at the Red Sox, 7:10 p.m. | TV: MLB.TV

Latest odds:

More than 10

The choice: More than 10 (-105) — I’m not used to betting overs on such high totals, but I’m making an exception tonight. The Red Sox and Orioles offenses have had success with longball recently, and conditions at Fenway tonight favor balls carried through the air. The pitching match also gives us advantages.

Baltimore’s Dean Kremer has a 3.42 ERA, but his 17.8 percent strikeout rate is well below average. Kremer also allows more flyball contact than the average starter, and those who go up against him tend to succeed. Boston’s Josh Winckowski is much better at keeping the ball on the ground but has an even lower strikeout rate (14.5%), and almost anything in the air against him goes a long way.

Key trend: Over bets are 11-5 in Boston’s last 16 home games and 4-1 in Baltimore’s last five road games.

🏈 NFL Pre-Season

Titans vs. Ravens, 7:30 p.m. | Television: NFL Game Pass

Latest odds:

Baltimore Crows -170

The Choice: Crows (-170) — NFL preseason games are usually nothing more than scrimmages in NFL stadiums rather than training grounds. Teams aren’t so much about winning games as they are about who should be on their roster. But there are the Ravens. Of course, they still evaluate their roster in preseason like everyone else, but they do it with the mentality that they also want to win the game.

That’s why Baltimore has won 20 consecutive pre-season games. Yes, it’s true. The Ravens have won 20 consecutive preseason games. It’s amazing what can happen in pre-season when you care about the final score. Of course, the Ravens will eventually lose, but until that happens there’s no reason to bet against them.

Key trend: The Ravens have won 20 consecutive preseason games.

🔒 SportsLine Pick of the Day: There’s another preseason game tonight between the Giants and Patriots, and SportsLine’s RJ White has everything you need to know about betting here.


⚾ Dingers Field

If we expect there to be any homers hit in the corn tonight, might as well bet on who will hit them there.



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