Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction, Odds, Line, Spread: 2022 NFL Picks, Week 4 Best Bets from a Proven Model

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Cooper Rush and the Dallas Cowboys (2-1) are set to face off against Carson Wentz and the Washington Commanders (1-2) in an NFC East rivalry game on Sunday, Oct. 2 at AT&T Stadium. Dallas is coming off a hard-fought 23-16 win over the New York Giants on Monday Night Football, while the Commanders look to bounce back from a 24-8 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Cowboys will once again be without starting quarterback Dak Prescott (thumb).

Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET in Arlington. Dallas is favored by 3 points in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Cowboys vs. Commanders odds, and the over/under is set at 41.5. Before making choices between Commanders and Cowboys, you should check out the NFL predictions and SportsLine model betting tips.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown nearly $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on the NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on NFL Direct Picks and has beaten over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.

Now, the model has set its sights on the Cowboys vs. Commanders and has just locked in its picks and NFL Week 4 predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Cowboys vs Commanders:

  • Spread Cowboys vs Commanders: Cowboys -3
  • Cowboys vs. Commanders plus/minus: 41.5 points
  • Cowboys vs. Commanders Picks: See the picks here

Featured game | Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders

What you need to know about the Cowboys

Dallas managed to pull off a solid win over the New York Giants last Monday, winning 23-16. Nobody had a standout game offensively for Dallas, but the Cowboys got scores from WR CeeDee Lamb and RB Ezekiel Elliott. QB Cooper Rush ended up with a passer rating of 136.60.

Dallas has managed to win its last two games without Dak Prescott by being elite on the defensive end of the ball. Against the Giants in Week 3, the Cowboys recorded five sacks, led by DeMarcus Lawrence who had three. They also added an interception and held New York to 169 passing yards. For the year, the Cowboys are giving up 17.3 points and 338.3 total yards per game.

What you need to know about commanders

Meanwhile, Washington received a blow last Sunday when it fell 24-8 to the Philadelphia Eagles. Washington was down 24-0 at the end of the third quarter, which was just too hard to recover from. One thing holding the COs back was Wentz’s poor play. In addition to failing to produce a single touchdown, he fumbled the ball once with just 4.91 yards per pass attempt.

The Commanders had problems on both sides of the ball, but none were more glaring than Wentz’s below average play. The 29-year-old quarterback was sacked nine times against the Eagles in Week 3. When protected, Wentz wasn’t particularly snappy, turning the ball over four times in three games. For Washington to come away with a win, Wentz will need to return to the level of play that thrilled those around him as an MVP candidate in Philadelphia.

How to Make Cowboys vs Commanders Picks

The model has simulated Cowboys vs. Commanders 10,000 times and the results are in. The model looks at total points, and it also generated a point pick that hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model choice on SportsLine.

So who wins Cowboys versus Commanders? And which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Commanders vs. Cowboys split you should be on everywhere, all from the model on a 139-103 roll on his top-rated NFL picks, and find out.



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