The Atlanta Falcons will look to get back to the .500 mark this season when they face the Washington Commanders on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta snapped a two-game losing streak with a 27-24 win over Chicago last week. Washington has won five of its last six games, beating Philadelphia and Houston in its last two games.
Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Washington is favored by 4 points in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Commanders vs Falcons odds, while the over/under is set at 40.5. Before we get into Falcons vs Commanders picks, you’ll want to see SportsLine’s NFL model predictions.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown more than $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-109 run on the NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on NFL Direct Picks and has beaten over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Hawks. You can head over to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Commanders vs. Falcons:
- Spread Commanders vs. Falcons: Commanders -4
- Commanders vs. Falcons Over/Under: 40.5 points
- Silver Line Commanders vs. Falcons: Washington -205, Atlanta +170
- Commanders vs. Falcons Picks: See the picks here
Featured game | Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons
Why the Falcons can cover
Atlanta snapped a two-game losing streak with a 27-24 win over Chicago last week, using a late field goal to claim the victory. The Falcons used 149 rushing yards for the victory, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Washington hasn’t played a home game since Week 9, which ended in a 20-17 loss to Minnesota.
The Falcons are only half a game behind Tampa Bay in the NFC South standings, so they have plenty of motivation to enter this week. Quarterback Marcus Mariota has been solid on the outside this season, throwing seven touchdown passes in five outings. He’s also thrown just one interception in his last three road games, and Atlanta has covered five of his last six trips to Washington.
Why Commanders Can Cover
Washington has had back-to-back outstanding performances in the first half, leading to wins over Philadelphia and Houston in its last two games. The Commanders took a 20-0 lead before claiming a 23-10 win over Houston last week. They’ve averaged just five first-half points per game in their previous eight games, but they’ve been able to get off to a hot start lately.
Quarterback Taylor Heinicke didn’t put up big numbers, but he was a solid replacement for the injured Carson Wentz. Washington’s offense was averaging just 15.3 points per game in the six outings before Heinicke took over. The Commanders have averaged 152.5 rushing yards and scored three touchdowns over the past two games, and they’ve gone undefeated against the spread in their last six games.
How to make choices between Falcons and Commanders
The model has simulated Commanders vs. Falcons 10,000 times and the results are in. The model looks at the total, and it also indicates that one side of the gap has all the value. You can only see the choice on SportsLine.
So who wins the Falcons against the Commanders? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Commanders vs. Falcons spread you should jump on Sunday, all from the model who crushed his NFL picks, and find out.
