The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs will meet for the 15th time on Sunday Night Football. The Week 4 tilt is a Super Bowl LV rematch, with the Buccaneers winning by a 31-9 margin. The match is also the sixth meeting of all time between Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes, with Brady leading this match 3-2. Both teams are 2-1 to start the season, although each is coming off a disappointing loss in Week 3 amid offensive scuffles.
Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is favored by two runs in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Chiefs vs Buccaneers odds, while the over/under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks it will score, is 47. Before making any Buccaneers vs Chiefs picks, you must see NFL predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown nearly $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now the model has set her sights on Chiefs vs Buccaneers and has just locked down her Sunday Night Football picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs Buccaneers:
- Chiefs vs Buccaneers spread: Buccaneers -2
- Chiefs vs Buccaneers over/under: 47 points
- Money line Chiefs vs Buccaneers: Chiefs +115, Buccaneers -135
- KC: Chiefs are 11-12 ATS in their last 23 games
- TB: Buccaneers are 12-10 ATS in their last 22 games
- Chiefs pick vs. Buccaneers: See picks here
Featured game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Why the Chiefs can cover
Kansas City has one of the best players in the NFL in Patrick Mahomes at the most important position on the field. Mahomes, a former MVP and four-time Pro Bowl draft pick, has 857 passing yards, eight touchdowns and just one interception this season. He ranks in the top eight in the league in completion rate (67.9%) and net yards per pass attempt (7.6), with elite marks elsewhere. Mahomes is No. 4 in the league with a QBR of 76.2 and No. 3 in the league with a passer rating of 112.1, going 14-2 in the last 16 against NFC teams.
With Mahomes on the court, the Chiefs are on a 12-game winning streak against NFC foes, and he’s averaging 311.4 passing yards with 42 touchdowns in 16 games against the opposing conference. Mahomes is also backed by an ultra-elite pass catcher in Travis Kelce, and the seven-time Pro Bowler has one receiving touchdown in five consecutive road games. Kelce is No. 6 in NFL history in receiving yards by tight end (9,286), and he has 30 career 100-yard receiving games, third by a tight end in NFL history. the league.
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Tampa Bay is 8-1 in the last nine games against AFC opponents, and the infrastructure is incredibly strong. Although the Buccaneers are struggling on offense this season, Tom Brady is a three-time MVP and seven-time champion who led the NFL in completions, passing yards and passing touchdowns in 2021. Brady n He has only one interception this season, and he will benefit from the return of outstanding receiver Mike Evans after a one-game suspension.
The Buccaneers are also incredibly strong on defense, leading the NFL in points allowed per game (9.0), points allowed per drive (0.75), turnovers created (eight), turnover rate (22.2 %) and touchdowns allowed (zero). Tampa Bay is also in the league’s top five in total defense and yards allowed per drive, with opponents generating just 44 first downs in three games against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay’s third defense is top notch, allowing opponents to convert on just a 30.6 percent chance, and the Buccaneers will face a Chiefs rushing offense that averages just 4.1 yards per carry and less than 100 rushing yards per game.
How to make Chiefs vs Buccaneers picks on SNF
SportsLine’s model looks at total points, with the model claiming 48 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits in almost 60% of the simulations. You can only view SNF selections on SportsLine.
So who wins the Buccaneers against the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Chiefs spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the pattern on a 139-103 roll on NFL picks, and find out.
