A year ago, the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Philadelphia Eagles by a 38-35 margin in Super Bowl LVII. On Sunday, February 11, the Chiefs will aim to win back-to-back Super Bowl titles when they take on the San Francisco 49ers. The two teams will meet in Super Bowl 58 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas and unlike the Chiefs, the 49ers are looking to win the Super Bowl for the first time in three decades. San Francisco won first place in the NFC this season and will try to avenge its Super Bowl loss to the Chiefs four years ago.
Kickoff will be at 6:30 p.m. ET in Las Vegas on CBS and Paramount+. San Francisco is a two-point favorite, while the over/under, or the total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 47.5 in the latest Chiefs vs. 49ers odds. Before locking in any 49ers vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, costs well over $7,000 for $100 players among the NFL’s highest-rated picks since its inception. The model enters the 2024 NFL Super Bowl on an incredible 184-129 streak among top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. He is also on a 38-21 record among top-rated picks rated since Week 7 of last season and has landed seven straight top-rated picks heading into the 2024 NFL playoffs.
The model has ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed him is at the top.
Now the model has set its sights on Niners vs. Chiefs in Super Bowl 58. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and trends for the Chiefs vs. Niners:
- Chiefs breakdown vs. 49ers: 49ers -2
- Chiefs vs. 49ers over/under: 47.5 points
- Chiefs money line against the 49ers: 49ers -129, Chiefs +109
- SF: 49ers are 9-10 ATS this season
- KC: Chiefs are 12-7-1 ATS this season
- Chiefs vs. 49ers picks: See the picks at SportsLine
- Streaming Chiefs vs. 49ers: Paramount+ (seven-day free trial)
Why the 49ers can cover
The 49ers stand out on several levels of defense, headlined by four-time Pro Bowl selection and 2022 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Nick Bosa. He has 10 postseason sacks in his career, the most in 49ers franchise history, and ranks among the top eight all-time with an average of 0.79 sacks per playoff game. Bosa also has more quarterback hits (115) than any NFL player over the past three seasons and finished second in quarterback hits (35) this season. He’s also consistent in pressuring the quarterback, ranking third in the league with 95 pressures this season. Over the last three seasons combined, Bosa is top-three in sacks (44.5), tackles for loss (56) and pressures (260), and he poses a constant threat to opposing offenses.
The Chiefs also ranked middle of the pack in offensive scoring this season, averaging just 21.8 points per game. Kansas City also has ball security issues, landing below the NFL median in turnovers (28) and interceptions (17). The Chiefs also finished with just 104.9 rushing yards per game and nine rushing touchdowns during the 17-game regular season. Find out which team to choose here.
Why the Chiefs can cover
Kansas City’s defense is peaking at the right time and the Chiefs have a destructive force in the middle of the defensive line in Chris Jones. Jones is a five-time All-Pro selection, including a first-team appearance in 2023. He has more sacks (35), tackles for loss (38) and quarterback pressures (217) than any other defensive tackle over the last three. seasons and finished No. 2 among defensive tackles in sacks (10.5), quarterback hits (33) and quarterback pressures (75) during the 2023 regular season.
Jones combines with L’Jarius Sneed and others to form an elite overall defensive unit that is coming off an AFC Championship Game in which Kansas City held the Baltimore Ravens to just 10 points and 81 yards rushing. Baltimore finished with the NFL’s best rushing attack during the regular season, making the Chiefs’ performance even more impressive, and Kansas City is yielding fewer than 14 points per game during the playoffs. Opponents are averaging just 5.0 yards per play and 322.0 total yards per game against the Chiefs in the 2024 NFL Playoffs, with Kansas City allowing just a third-down efficiency rating of 30%. . Find out which team to choose here.
How to make picks between the Chiefs and 49ers
SportsLine’s model is leaning under the total, calling for a combined 45 points. The model also indicates that one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model choices on SportsLine.
So who wins the 49ers against the Chiefs in Super Bowl 58, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which 49ers vs. Chiefs side to pick in the 2024 Super Bowl, all from the Advanced Model that costs well over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
