The Milwaukee Bucks (53-11) will face a daunting challenge Monday night with a visit to Colorado to face the Denver Nuggets (42-21). Giannis Antetokounmpo will be absent with a knee injury, and the Bucks will be in the second night of a consecutive set. The Nuggets project will be fully operational from an injury perspective.
Kick-off is at 9 p.m. AND at the Pepsi Center. Sports betting ranks Denver among the favorites at 3.5 points at home, up one point from the first row, while the excess or total number of points that Vegas expects to be scored is 221, 5 in the last Bucks vs Nuggets odds. Before you make Nuggets vs Bucks choices or NBA predictions, see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine projection model simulates 10,000 times each NBA game and has already reported nearly $ 4,000 in profit on all of the top-rated NBA picks during the 2019-20 season. He also started a week 49-31 blister on all of the top-rated NBA spread picks this week. Anyone who has followed him has seen huge returns.
Now the model has set her sights on Bucks vs Nuggets. You can head to SportsLine to see its choices. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nuggets vs Bucks:
- Bucks vs Nuggets gap: Nuggets -3.5
- Over-under Bucks vs Nuggets: 221.5 points
- Bucks vs Nuggets Money Line: Nuggets -169, Bucks +140
- MIL: Bucks 1-4 ATS in last five games
- DEN: Nuggets 2-7 ATS in Last Nine
Why Bucks Can Cover
The model considered the Bucks to be on a tight schedule, but, in short, Milwaukee has the best statistical profile of the entire NBA team. This is supported by the best overall record in the NBA, and Milwaukee’s defense is elite in every way. The Bucks lead the league in possession permitted points and are also the best team in the NBA in terms of authorized shooting efficiency and defensive rebound.
On the other hand, the Bucks are among the top three teams in total attack and have an effective shooting profile, ranking # 2 in the league in terms of shooting efficiency. Milwaukee achieves turnover on only 14% of its possessions and, against a team of Nuggets which has a propensity to send adversaries on the line of the free throws at an alarming rate, in the last 10, the Bucks should be in able to reach the charity band on the go.
Why Nuggets Can Cover
Despite this, Milwaukee is not a lock to cover the Bucks vs. Nuggets spread. The model also considered that the Nuggets had a stellar home record this season, winning 24 of 32 games at the Pepsi Center. Denver are one of the best offensive bouncing teams in the NBA, getting 28.5% of their own missed shots this season, and that could be a path to success against Milwaukee’s stellar defense.
The Nuggets are also among the top 12 teams in the league in terms of shooting, efficiency, turnover avoidance and points per possession. Defensively, Denver sometimes has rebound issues, but the Bucks ranks # 28 in the NBA offensive rebound, catching only 22.9% of their own duds this season. Finally, the Nuggets enter regular rest, the Bucks arriving in Denver without their superstar on the second night of a difficult consecutive set.
How To Make Bucks vs. Nuggets Choices
The SportsLine model is based on the total, with Nikola Jokic projected to be below its score average and Antetokounmpo out of the program. The model also indicates that one side of the gap has full value.
So who wins Bucks vs Nuggets? And which side of the gap has all its value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs Bucks spread you have to jump on Monday, all from the model that crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
