The division rivals will square off in front of a national audience on Monday Night Football to wrap up the NFL’s Week 13 schedule. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the New Orleans Saints, and Tampa Bay won the first contest between the clubs this season, winning by a 10-point margin in Week 2. The Buccaneers are 5-6 , leading the NFC South, while the Saints are 4-8. Both teams failed to cover last time out.
Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Tampa. Caesars Sportsbook lists Tampa Bay as the 3.5-point favorite at home, while the plus/minus, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will score, is 40.5 in the latest Buccaneers vs. Saints odds. Before you lock in any Saints vs Buccaneers picks or NFL bets, you should check out the SportsLine projection model NFL predictions.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown more than $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-110 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now the model has broken down Buccaneers vs Saints on MNF. You can head over to SportsLine to see the choices. Here are the NFL lines and trends for Saints vs Bucs:
- Spread Buccaneers vs. Saints: Buccaneers -3.5
- Buccaneers vs. Saints over/under: 40.5 points
- Buccaneers vs Saints money line: Bucs -195, Saints +162
- NO: Saints are 4-8 ATS this season
- TB: Buccaneers are 3-7-1 ATS this season
- Buccaneers pick vs. Saints: See picks on SportsLine
Featured game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints
Why saints can cover
The Saints are allowing just 16 points per game in the last five games, and New Orleans is in the NFL’s top 12 in total defense and first downs allowed. New Orleans is also putting pressure on the quarterback, with 33 sacks, No. 8 in the NFL, and the Saints are in the top 10 in passing yards and passing touchdowns allowed to opponents.
New Orleans is holding the opposition to a 62.2 percent completion rate and just 6.8 yards per pass attempt, and opponents are converting just 38.8 percent of third down chances against the Saints. New Orleans is also elite in the red zone, with the Saints giving up a touchdown on just 47.1% of trips inside the No. 3 20-yard line this season. See which team to choose here.
Why the Buccaneers can cover
The Buccaneers allow just 18.5 points per game, No. 6 in the NFL, and Tampa Bay yields just 1.65 points per defensive possession. Tampa Bay is in the top 10 in total yards allowed, and the Buccaneers are in the top five in first down prevention. With a deep veteran group, Tampa Bay is strong against the pass, ranking No. 6 with 2,112 passing yards allowed, and opponents are averaging just 6.5 yards per attempt against the Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay is giving up a 63.4 percent completion rate and 37.4 percent third-highest mark this season, and the Buccaneers are tied for No. 3 with 36 sacks. As New Orleans struggles mightily to avoid turnovers (21 giveaways) and averaging less than 21 points per game, Tampa Bay’s defense is projecting heavily on Monday Night Football. See which team to choose here.
How to make Buccaneers vs Saints picks
The model broke down Monday Night Football’s Saints vs Buccaneers game from every angle. He leans under the total, with the model projecting a combined 40 points. It also indicates that one side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time. See who it’s all about at SportsLine.
So who wins Saints vs. Buccaneers on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Saints vs Buccaneers spread you should be on everywhere, all from the model on a 155-110 roll on his top-rated NFL picks, and find out.