Nathaniel Hackett and the Denver Broncos (2-2) will host Frank Reich and the Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) on Thursday Night Football. Hackett and his ball club have had their ups and downs so far and will be hoping to find the rhythm offensively despite the absence of running back Javonte Williams (knee). Similarly, the Colts play like an inconsistent football team and will be without star guard Jonathan Taylor (ankle).
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET in Denver. Caesars Sportsbook lists Denver as a three-point favorite in the latest Broncos vs. Colts odds. The over/under for total points is 42. Before making any Colts vs. Broncos picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and SportsLine projection model betting tips.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown nearly $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 140-105 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now the model has set its sights on the Broncos vs. Colts and has just locked in its TNF picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for the Colts vs. Broncos:
- Difference Broncos vs. Colts: Denver -3
- Broncos vs. Colts over/under: 42 points
- Broncos vs. Colts silver line: Indianapolis +143, Denver -170
- IND: Colts are 5-1 ATS in last six games after back-to-back loss
- DEN: Broncos are 5-0 ATS in last five home games against record-losing teams on the road
- Broncos vs. Colts picks: See picks here
Featured Game | Denver Broncos vs. Indianapolis Colts
Why the Broncos can cover
Denver’s defensive line has players who can build pressure and tackle the quarterback. Defensive end Dre’Mont Jones is underrated and plays regularly. Jones is solid against the run with pass-rush moves to get into the backfield. The Ohio State product has 14 total tackles, three TFLs and two sacks. Bradley Chubb is another edge force for the Broncos.
Chubb has long arms and a range of moves to evade blockers. Pro Bowler 2020 explodes offline and is very active. He leads the team in sacks (three) with three tackles for the loss. Cornerback Patrick Surtain II played well in the first quarter of the season. Surtain II boasts elite height, length and instincts with flowing hips. The Alabama product thrives in men’s coverage but is superb in the zone. He recorded 15 tackles with a team-high four pass deflections.
Why the Colts can cover
Indianapolis defensive end Kwity Paye is an athletic passing thrower with fast, powerful hands. Paye is also quick on the edge and beats blockers with speed. The 2021 first-round pick has 16 total tackles, five TFLs and three sacks, a team high. Last week, he recorded three total saves with a sack.
Yannick Ngakoue is an opposing force to Paye. Ngakoue is another sprinter who uses his speed to beat defenders. The Maryland product explodes off the line with powerful hands and agility. He currently has seven total tackles, two TFLs and a sack. Defensive tackle Grover Stewart helps fill the run in the middle of the defense. Stewart is quick enough to clear blockers and wrap opponents. The 2017 fourth-round pick had 15 total saves as well as two tackles for loss.
How to Make Broncos vs. Colts Picks
SportsLine’s model leans under the total, calling for a combined 40 points. It also indicates that one side of the gap is cashing in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model’s TNF picks from SportsLine.
So who wins the Colts against the Broncos on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes well more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Colts vs. Broncos spread, all from the forward model that’s risen nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks since 2017, and find out.