A primetime contest on Thursday Night Football features the New England Patriots (6-5) hosting the Buffalo Bills (8-3). Both clubs have adapted to Thanksgiving and will play Thursday night for the second week in a row. Buffalo eliminated the Detroit Lions, 28-25, last week, while New England lost to the Minnesota Vikings, 33-26. The Bills are currently second in the division, while the Patriots are in last place. This contest has playoff implications for both teams in the AFC’s tightly contested playoff draw.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Buffalo is favored by 3.5 points in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Bills vs. Patriots odds, and the over/under is 43.5. Before making any Patriots vs. Bills picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and SportsLine projection model betting tips.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown more than $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-110 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now, the model has set his sights on Bills vs. Patriots and has just locked in his picks and NFL TNF Week 13 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Patriots vs Bills:
- Difference between the Bills and the Patriots: Buffalo -3.5
- Bills vs. Patriots over/under: 43.5 points
- Bills vs. Patriots money line: Buffalo -190, New England +160
- BUF: Bills are 6-2 ATS in last eight games in December
- NE: Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last four against AFC opponents
- Bills vs. Patriots pick: See the picks on SportsLine
Featured game | New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
Why bills can cover
Quarterback Josh Allen will give the Patriots defensive tweaks due to his absurd athleticism and pinpoint accuracy. Allen has 1,511 passing yards with 11 passing touchdowns and an 82.7 passer rating against New England in seven career games. The Wyoming product also threw for more than 300 yards with more than three assists in two games last year. In the divisional win over New England, Allen threw for 314 yards for three pass ratings and a passer rating of 104.4.
Wide receiver Stefon Diggs has sculpted the Patriots since joining Buffalo in 2020. Diggs is a savvy road runner who can eat at every level on the field. The Maryland product has 31 catches for 422 yards and scored four touchdowns in five career games against New England. His best performance came in December 2020, where he had nine passes for 145 yards and three touchdowns. See which team to choose here.
Why the Patriots can cover
Quarterback Mac Jones is an accurate passer who can move the sticks and take what the defense gives him. Jones wins with the consistent ability to keep the pitching pace going. The Alabama product is also capable of pushing the ball down when needed and was introduced last week. In the loss to the Vikings, Jones went 28 of 39 for a season-high 382 yards and two scores. He also had a season-high 9.8 yards per pass attempt.
New England had five players with more than 60 receiving yards in last week’s game. Receiver Devante Parker led the way with four catches for 80 yards and made several contested catches. Running back Rhamondre Stevenson continues to be an outlet in the passing game. Stevenson has nine receptions for 76 yards and knows how to make the first defenseman miss. See which team to choose here.
How to make choices between Bills and Patriots
SportsLine’s model looks at total points. In fact, he claims 45 points combined. It also indicates that one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only get the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine.
So who wins the Patriots against the Bills on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the gap hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Bills spread, all from the advanced model that costs well over $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.