The Week 13 edition of Thursday Night Football features the New England Patriots (6-5) hosting the Buffalo Bills (8-3). The divisional affair will be the first of two games between these teams. Buffalo has won four of the last five meetings, including two straight wins. In the Wild Card round of the playoffs last year, the Bills crushed the Patriots, 47-17. Both teams failed to cover the gap last week.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Buffalo is favored by 3.5 points in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Bills vs. Patriots odds, and the over/under is 43.5. Before making any Patriots vs. Bills picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and SportsLine projection model betting tips.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown more than $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-110 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now, the model has set his sights on Bills vs. Patriots and has just locked in his picks and NFL TNF Week 13 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Patriots vs Bills:
- Difference between the Bills and the Patriots: Buffalo -3.5
- Bills vs. Patriots over/under: 43.5 points
- Bills vs. Patriots money line: Buffalo -190, New England +160
- BUF: Bills are 6-2 ATS in last eight games in December
- NE: Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last four against AFC opponents
- Bills vs. Patriots pick: See the picks on SportsLine
Featured Game | New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
Why bills can cover
Receiver Stefon Diggs is one of the best receivers in the NFL. He is extremely sure of himself and regularly performs difficult holds. The two-time Pro Bowl selection shows excellent coordination and focus when tracking the ball downfield. The 28-year-old is second in the league in receptions (84), third in receiving yards (1,110) and third in receiving touchdowns (nine).
Gabe Davis lines up against Diggs and forms an exciting combo. Davis is a winning physical receiver on the court with strong body adjustments and reliable hands. The UCF product has long speed and can break away from defenders in open space. The 23-year-old had 33 receptions for 650 yards and five scores. See which team to choose here.
Why the Patriots can cover
Running back Rhamondre Stevenson is having a stellar campaign so far. Stevenson has been an all-around weapon racking up melee yards. The Oklahoma product has plenty of size and shows good contact balance. The 24-year-old can also make plays in the passing game. In fact, Stevenson leads the team with 151 carries for 680 yards and four touchdowns. Additionally, he recorded 359 receiving yards and three other scores.
Quarterback Mac Jones is leading the charge for the offense. Jones shows a solid understanding of getting the ball out early and keeping pace on the attack. The Alabama product has a lot of precision and can attack every level on the field. Jones completes 69% of his passes for 1,768 yards and six passing ratings. See which team to choose here.
How to make choices between Bills and Patriots
SportsLine’s model looks at total points. In fact, he claims 45 points combined. It also indicates that one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only get the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine.
So who wins the Patriots against the Bills on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the gap hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Bills spread, all from the advanced model that costs well over $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.