The Miami Dolphins will look to stay atop the AFC when they take on the defending conference champion Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday Night Football. The Dolphins (3-0) are coming off a stunning 21-19 victory over the Buffalo Bills last Sunday, while the Bengals (1-2) finally entered the win column in Week 3 with a triumph of 27-12 over the New York Jets. Miami ranked third in the AFC East a year ago with a 9-8 record, but Cincinnati won the AFC North at 10-7.
Kickoff from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Cincinnati is a four-point favorite in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Bengals vs Dolphins odds, while the over/under for total runs scored is 47. Before making any Dolphins vs Bengals picks, be sure to check out the predictions. and NFL betting tips from the SportsLine projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has grown nearly $7,000 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now the model has set its sights on the Dolphins vs Bengals and has just locked in its TND picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for the Dolphins vs. the Bengals:
- Bengals vs. Dolphins spread: Cincinnati -4
- Bengals vs. Dolphins over/under: 47 points
- Money line Bengals vs Dolphins: Dolphins +175, Bengals -210
- MIA: Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in last four September games
- CIN: Bengals have covered seven straight games against teams with winning records
- Bengals vs. Dolphins picks: See the picks here
Featured game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins
Why the Bengals can cover
Wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase recorded his 15th career touchdown reception in Week 3, which is tied for second among all players since entering the league last season. For the year, Chase leads Cincinnati in receiving with 212 yards on 21 receptions (10.1 average) with two touchdowns. He caught 10 passes for 129 yards and a touchdown in the 23-20 overtime loss to the Steelers in Week 1. Chase also converted 10 first downs in that game.
Cincinnati is also powered by wide receiver Tyler Boyd, who led the team with 105 receiving yards in a win over the New York Jets last Sunday. Boyd recorded a 72-yard touchdown reception in the teams last meeting with Miami and is aiming for his third straight game against Miami with a touchdown. Boyd is in his seventh year with Cincinnati and is coming off a season that saw him catch 67 passes for 828 yards (12.4 average) and five touchdowns. His best season was in 2019, when he caught 90 passes for 1,046 yards (11.6 average) and five scores.
Why dolphins can cover
Although quarterback Tua Tagovailoa can play Thursday, he injured his back and ankle in Sunday’s win over the Buffalo Bills and his status is far from certain. If he plays, however, the Dolphins offense will benefit greatly. Tagovailoa has been on fire, completing 72 of 101 passes (71.3%) for 925 yards and eight touchdowns. He was intercepted twice and sacked five times, but has a rating of 117.8.
Veteran receiver Tyreek Hill, who leads the team with 21 catches for 317 yards (15.1 average) and two touchdowns, also helps power Miami’s offense. Hill also has six explosive plays for 20 or more yards, including a season-high 60 yards. He also converted 13 first downs. The former Kansas City Chiefs standout has been in the league since 2016 and has 500 receptions for 6,947 yards (13.9 average) and 58 touchdowns.
How to Make Choices Between Dolphins and Bengals
SportsLine’s model leans under the point total, calling for 47 points. It also generated a pick against the spread which cashes in over 50% of the simulations. You can only get the model’s TNF picks from SportsLine.
So who wins the Dolphins against the Bengals on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread takes more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which way the Dolphins vs. Bengals have spread, all from the forward model that’s risen nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks since 2017, and find out.
